LIVE · Advisory #40 · 8:00 PM PDT
Hurricane Rachel CAT 1
Rachel holding steady over the eastern Pacific
Max winds80 mph
Pressure979 mb
MovementWNW 6 mph
Position20.4N 120.4W
Next advisory2:00 AM PDT
Hurricane Rachel forecast path & cone map
🌀 Track & cone: NOAA NHC Advisory #40 · issued Tue 8:00 PM PDT (track, cone, watches & warnings verbatim)
💨 Map layer: wind gusts · GFS model run Tue 5:00 PM PDT (Oct 7, 00z) — one computer model, not the official forecast; the model's storm position and city gusts may differ from the NHC track and probabilities.
⚠️ Weathershot is not an official warning source. For evacuation orders and local instructions follow your local emergency management and the National Weather Service.
———
Forecast cone (NHC, 5 days)
Track · H hurricane · S storm · D depression · PT post-tropical
City gusts, mph (GFS, 72 h)
Map: Weathershot · GFS 0.25° gusts
When winds arrive tropical-storm-force (39+ mph) · NHC probabilities, 5 days
| Location | Earliest TS winds could begin | Chance TS winds | Chance hurricane winds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Is Guadalupe | — | 6% | 0% |
| Punta Eugenia | — | 6% | 0% |
Time window = the earliest NHC period (PDT) with a 10%+ chance that tropical-storm-force winds begin (NHC “earliest reasonable arrival” — be ready before it); “—” = under 10% in every period. Locations and percentages as published by NHC.
Watches and warnings NHC, verbatim
No coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Where is Rachel now?
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
Advisory timeline
- #40 · Tue 8:00 PM PDTRachel holding steady over the eastern Pacific — Hurricane, 80 mph
- #39 · Tue 2:00 PM PDTRachel slightly weaker — Hurricane, 80 mph
- #38 · Tue 8:00 AM PDTRachel continues to move westward — Hurricane, 85 mph
- #37 · Tue 2:00 AM PDTRachel weakens slightly while continuing westward — Hurricane, 85 mph
- #36 · Mon 8:00 PM PDTRachel moving westward over the open eastern Pacific ocean — Hurricane, 90 mph
- #35 · Mon 2:00 PM PDTRachel slightly better organized — Hurricane, 90 mph
- #34 · Mon 8:00 AM PDTRachel slightly weakens and continues westward — Hurricane, 85 mph
- #33 · Mon 2:00 AM PDTRachel a little weaker as it continues to move westward — Hurricane, 90 mph
Forecast discussion NHC forecaster, excerpt
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Rachel was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 120.4 West. Rachel is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and a generally west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Rachel is then forecast to slow down before making a sharp turn to the northeast by the end of the week.