Tropical Storm Simon
Tropical Storm Simon forecast path & cone map
When winds arrive tropical-storm-force (39+ mph) · NHC probabilities, 5 days
| Location | Earliest TS winds could begin | Chance TS winds | Chance hurricane winds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manzanillo | Fri 1 PM – Sat 1 PM | 72% | 14% |
| Barra Navidad | Fri 1 PM – Sat 1 PM | 61% | 7% |
| San Blas | Sat 1 PM – Sun 1 PM | 51% | 7% |
| P Vallarta | Fri 1 PM – Sat 1 PM | 45% | 3% |
| Islas Marias | Sat 1 PM – Sun 1 PM | 42% | 6% |
| Mazatlan | Sat 1 PM – Sun 1 PM | 30% | 2% |
| Culiacan | — | 9% | 0% |
| Cabo San Lucas | — | 6% | 0% |
| San Jose Cabo | — | 6% | 0% |
| La Paz | — | 5% | 0% |
Time window = the earliest NHC period (CST) with a 10%+ chance that tropical-storm-force winds begin (NHC “earliest reasonable arrival” — be ready before it); “—” = under 10% in every period. Locations and percentages as published by NHC.
Watches and warnings NHC, verbatim
No coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Where is Simon now?
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SSE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
Advisory timeline
- #2 · Wed 3:00 PM CSTDepression becomes Tropical Storm Simon — Tropical Storm, 40 mph
- #1 · Wed 9:00 AM CSTNew Tropical depression forms south of Mexico — Tropical Depression, 35 mph
Forecast discussion NHC forecaster, excerpt
At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 101.6 West. Simon is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tomorrow, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Simon is expected to remain south of Mexico through Friday, but approach the coast of southwestern Mexico on Saturday.